Bitcoin price on August 8?

Platform comparison

Market context

Bitcoin is trading in the mid-$60,000s, with recent live reads clustering around $64,800–$65,000 and a 1 August monthly close reported at $64,878, so the market is currently pricing a level far below the headline outcomes implied by the existing 0% YES reading on any much higher bracket.[1][2][12] That matters because the settlement uses Binance’s 1-minute BTC/USDT candle close at 12:00 ET, which makes the exact minute rather than the day’s broader range decisive.

The nearest comparable price snapshots point to a relatively tight trading band rather than a breakaway move: Fortune put Bitcoin at $64,744.92 on 7 August, CoinDesk showed $64,846.41, and StatMuse listed the 8 August trade-day close at $64,929.01.[4][12][2] A separate market on the same date on Robinhood was concentrating liquidity around $64,750–$64,999 and $65,000–$65,249, reinforcing that traders have been treating this as a mid-$60,000 decision point rather than a momentum breakout.[3]

For the next 24–48 hours, the main catalysts are macro headlines, any sharp move in spot Bitcoin flows, and whether BTC can hold the low-$65,000 area into the midday ET close used for settlement. Recent coverage has framed the market as supported by institutional inflows and large-holder accumulation, but with subdued momentum, which leaves the outcome sensitive to any overnight risk-off move or a fast intraday swing around the benchmark time.[6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Bitcoin price on August 8?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?

Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.