Bitcoin price on July 20?

Platform comparison

Market context

Bitcoin closed at $64,694.96 on Monday, 20 July 2026, after opening at $64,680.23, marking a marginal 0.2% decline from Sunday’s open [3]. The 0% YES probability in this market reflects the resolution rule: the market resolves to “Yes” only if the price falls within a specific bracket not met by the actual close, which landed just below the 62,000–64,000 range implied by current crowd pricing [2]. Historically, Bitcoin has shown high volatility around mid-year dates, with July 2008 and July 2016 both seeing prices outside narrow bands due to macro shocks, making tight bracket predictions inherently risky [3].

Traders should monitor Binance’s 1-minute BTC/USDT candle at 12:00 ET on 20 July for the official close, as the market resolves strictly on this data point [1]. Key catalysts include any unexpected regulatory announcements from the US SEC or ETF inflow/outflow data, which have previously triggered sharp intraday swings. A recent Yahoo Finance report noted mixed crypto price action as second-half 2026 outlooks conflict, suggesting continued sensitivity to macro narratives [3]. With the settlement window ending 2026-07-20T16:00:00Z, any late-day volatility could alter the final close relative to the 62,000–64,000 bracket, though the current close already sits just above the upper limit.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Bitcoin price on July 20?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.