Total commitments for the Credible public sale on MetaDAO

Platform comparison

Market context

Credible Finance is conducting a public sale on MetaDAO’s Solana-based fundraising platform, with commitments already exceeding $2.3 million from institutional soft commits before the curated raise officially launched on 13 July [2][7]. The market targets whether total commitments surpass a specific threshold before the 31 August 2026 deadline, and the 99% YES probability reflects the fact that the minimum funding goal of $2 million is already met and the current soft-commit total sits well above it [2].

Historically, MetaDAO raises with institutional backing have consistently hit or exceeded their minimum thresholds, as seen in earlier campaigns where soft commits from firms like Paradigm ensured early success [5][10]. In comparable cases, once soft commitments exceed the minimum, public participation typically pushes totals toward the upper cap, making failure to reach the threshold highly improbable unless the sale is halted or data becomes unverifiable [4][6].

Traders should monitor the official Credible sale page for the live “committed” figure, which serves as the sole resolution source, and watch for any announcements regarding sale delays or holds that could obscure verifiable data [2]. Key catalysts include the four-day participation window opening, potential influxes of retail USDC capital, and any updates from MetaDAO or Credible on valuation caps or token supply mechanics that might influence investor demand [4][8].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Total commitments for the Credible public sale on MetaDAO. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.