Total commitments for the Laso Finance public sale on MetaDAO

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is Laso Finance’s USDC-raising futarchy ICO on MetaDAO, running from 30 June to 3 July 2026, with a minimum target of $750,000 and a hard cap of $1 million for its 1 million fixed supply LASO token [6][7]. Current crowd-implied probability sits at just 5% YES for exceeding the unspecified threshold in the market title, despite Polymarket traders previously pricing a 91% chance of surpassing $1 million in total commitments for this same sale [3]. This stark divergence mirrors the Ranger public sale on MetaDAO, where markets assigned 100% probability to outcomes above $15 million and $20 million, yet actual commitment totals remain opaque until the raise closes [1]. Such historical cases suggest that low current probabilities often reflect uncertainty over the threshold itself rather than genuine doubt about the project’s ability to meet its minimum raise, especially when the sale window is narrow and the token supply is capped.

Traders should watch three immediate catalysts: the official launch of the ICO on 30 June, any announcement of partnership integrations for Laso’s crypto prepaid card platform, and the final committed figure displayed on the MetaDAO sale page before 31 July 2026 [7][8]. The privacy payments app behind Laso has already processed $720,000 in 30 days, indicating near-term demand that could push commitments toward the $1 million cap if marketing momentum holds [7]. No recent beat-reporter coverage has emerged on the sale’s progress, but the project’s X account confirms the mission to serve “humans and non-humans,” hinting at potential ecosystem expansions that could act as catalysts [6]. With the settlement window ending 1 August 2026, the key dependency is whether the committed figure reaches the threshold before the raise closes, regardless of subsequent refunds.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Total commitments for the Laso Finance public sale on MetaDAO on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.