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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

"Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) 60% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) 57% Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) 55% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) 52% Volume: $63K Liquidity: $458K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
60% 40% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
60% 40% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)60%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)57%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)55%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)52%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.544%
O/U 2.5 Games38%
Map 1 Winner32%
Map 2 Winner24%
Match Winner19%

Market context

3DMAX face MOUZ in a best-of-three quarter-final at the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, and the market’s 32% crowd-implied probability for 3DMAX reflects a clear underdog view. The pair have already played several recent series, and MOUZ have taken the last two recorded best-of-threes against 3DMAX, both by 2-0 scorelines, including wins in ESL Pro League Season 22 and earlier in the year[4][10]. That head-to-head run matters because it suggests MOUZ have repeatedly been able to handle 3DMAX’s map pool and mid-round adjustments, while 3DMAX have yet to convert a series against them[1][4][10].

The current read on 3DMAX is more nuanced than a simple mismatch. One recent BLAST preview noted they came into the quarter-final on the back of consecutive wins, including a 2-1 over m80’s replacement opponents and a 2-0 over FUT, with Kursy carrying strong individual form over the previous three months[3]. MOUZ, by contrast, were described as the clearer favourite, but they also had one earlier group-stage loss to Falcons, which is relevant because their level has not been flawless even if the baseline remains higher[3][6].

For traders, the main catalysts are late team-news and whether the scheduled start holds, because a postponement beyond seven days or a non-played match would push the market to 50-50 under the rules. The listed start is 30 July at 16:00 local time in the cited match listing, so any official schedule shift, substitution news, or player availability update before lock could move the price quickly[2][5]. MOUZ’s recent form suggests stability, but any last-minute issue around roster continuity would matter more here than in an ordinary group-stage match[6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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