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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group A

Sports snapshot for "Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group A" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% O/U 2.5 Games 88% Map 2 Winner 87% Volume: $313K Liquidity: $442K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
O/U 2.5 Games88%
Map 2 Winner87%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs K27 (+3.5)78%
Match Winner65%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs K27 (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs K27 (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs K27 (+9.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)11%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs K27 (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-9.5) vs K27 (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs K27 (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%

Market context

Aurora Gaming’s best-of-three against K27 in StarLadder StarSeries Group A opens with a market that prices Aurora as a clear outsider at 7% despite the team usually carrying the deeper international pedigree. That gap is easier to read against recent form: Aurora have won three of their last five on Strafe, while K27 have taken four of five, and one preview notes Aurora’s high-level wins over G2, 9z and BetBoom in June alongside an IEM Cologne semi-final run, with K27 showing a 67% win rate over the last month and a strong Mirage record[3][2]. Strafe’s own voting is also sharply split, with users backing K27 66.7% to 33.3%, which is a useful reminder that the crowd can lean with current momentum rather than longer-run reputation[1].

For traders, the main catalysts are not abstract form lines but line-up and veto details. Aurora’s reported five of XANTARES, woxic, Jimpphat, kyxsan and Wicadia suggests a stable core, while K27’s listed roster of X5G7V, xeedo, kashl1d, relaxxie and qw1nk1 has been consistent enough to support recent results[4]. The market will likely move on any late roster note, map veto information, or signs that Aurora can avoid weak maps such as Nuke, which one preview flags as a liability at 39% over 18 maps[2]. A K27 win would fit the pattern of a form-driven upset; an Aurora win would be more in line with squad quality and higher-end experience than the current crowd price suggests[5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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