Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Inner Circle Esports and Sharks at the Super DraculaN Playoffs, scheduled for 8:00AM ET on 27 June. Despite the crowd-implied probability of 0% favouring Inner Circle, historical precedents suggest such extreme odds often misread volatile team dynamics. In recent LAN events, teams with sharp recent slumps have frequently overturned favourites when map vetoes neutralise their opponents’ strongest maps. For instance, Inner Circle’s 0-2 loss to Sharks in Bucharest earlier this month, where Sharks won on Mirage and Nuke, demonstrates how a single tactical shift can flip momentum, yet the current probability ignores Inner Circle’s 89% Anubis winrate over the past half-year, a metric that historically correlates with late-series resilience.

Traders must monitor the map veto announcement, as Inner Circle’s ability to ban Nuke—Sharks’ 73% winrate specialist map—could expose Sharks’ 46% Anubis weakness, a critical vulnerability cited by GOCORE analysts. Additionally, watch for any roster updates or coaching changes; Sharks’ three-match losing streak at IEM Cologne and 38% monthly winrate signal confidence issues, while Inner Circle’s back-to-back wins and 67% monthly form indicate rising momentum. The settlement window ending 27 June 19:40 UTC means any delay beyond seven days without a winner triggers a 50-50 resolution, a rare outcome that has occurred in only 3% of CS2 BO3 matches since 2024. Current Thunderpick odds (1.78 for Inner Circle, 1.92 for Sharks) contradict the crowd’s 0% view, suggesting market inefficiency.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.