Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs roamsfiest (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is a lower-bracket semifinal in Counter-Strike 2 at the Svenska CS-Ligan Playoffs, where Johnny Speeds faces roamsfiest on 27 June 2026 at 10:00 UTC. The match has already concluded with roamsfiest winning 2–1, ending the contest after 42 minutes and 49 seconds of play[2]. Given the result is final and the outcome is roamsfiest, the market’s 0% YES probability for Johnny Speeds reflects the settled reality rather than a speculative forecast[2].

Historically, prediction markets that assign 0% probability to a team after a match has finished and a winner is determined are simply acknowledging the completed outcome, not predicting future uncertainty. In comparable cases across esports markets, once a match is marked “Finished” with a clear victor, the probability for the losing side collapses to zero immediately, as no further resolution is possible[2]. This mirrors how markets behave when a result is official: the probability aligns with the known fact, not a hypothetical scenario.

Traders should monitor official settlement confirmations from the Svenska CS-Ligan and any post-match reports from beat sources like Dust2 or Liquipedia to ensure no administrative reversal occurs[3][4]. While the match is finished, dependencies include whether the league officially validates the result or if a rare protest leads to a replay, though such events are exceptionally uncommon in lower-bracket play[4]. No further catalysts are expected unless the league announces an anomaly, which would be reported promptly by established esports news outlets.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.