Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
Market context
Red Feet and QUINTESSÊNCIA meet in the lower bracket round three of the CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs on 13 August 2026. The winner advances deeper into the losers' bracket; the loser is eliminated from the tournament. Both teams enter from prior lower bracket victories, making this a knockout fixture where a single defeat ends their campaign.
The 0% implied probability reflects genuine uncertainty around team composition and recent form in the South American competitive Counter-Strike circuit. QUINTESSÊNCIA has shown inconsistent results through 2026, whilst Red Feet's roster stability remains unclear following mid-season roster adjustments reported by regional esports journalists covering the CCT circuit. Historical precedent in lower bracket matches at this stage suggests outcomes often hinge on which team has maintained practice continuity and avoided injury or availability issues in the weeks leading to playoffs. Teams entering from stronger group-stage records have not always translated that form into lower bracket success, particularly when facing opponents with higher individual skill ceilings despite weaker seeding.
Traders should monitor official CCT announcements regarding any last-minute roster confirmations or coaching staff changes through to the settlement window closing on 14 August at 03:15 UTC. Schedule delays are common in South American regional tournaments, and the 168-hour postponement clause means any rescheduling would reset the resolution timeline. Availability of key players—particularly in-game leaders or primary AWPers—often surfaces only hours before match start. Recent statements from either organisation's social media accounts or regional broadcast partners covering the Challengers circuit will signal whether either side faces unexpected absences that could materially shift competitive balance.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Red Feet vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Counter-Strike: Red Feet vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CC… on March Madness Predictions
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