Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: eternal premium (-9.5) vs ex-Sashi Academy (+9.5) | 0% eternal premium | 100% ex-Sashi Academy |
| Match Winner | 100% ex-Sashi Academy | 0% eternal premium |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: EP (-1.5) vs ex-Sashi Academy (+1.5) | 0% eternal premium | 100% ex-Sashi Academy |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: eternal premium (-3.5) vs ex-Sashi Academy (+3.5) | 0% eternal premium | 100% ex-Sashi Academy |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
The underlying event is a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike 2 match between ex-Sashi Academy and eternal premium in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier, Group B, scheduled for 13:30 UTC on 26 June 2026. Ex-Sashi Academy, ranked 126 globally, faces eternal premium, ranked 95, with the latter holding a clear seeding advantage in CIS Counter-Strike circles[1].
Historically, 0% crowd-implied probabilities in amateur qualifiers often signal a match cancellation or a severe roster collapse rather than a genuine competitive mismatch. In comparable cases from the Dust2.dk Ligaen and Parken Challenger Championship, teams with similar ranking gaps (e.g., Sashi Academy’s 2–1 loss to Invicta and 2–0 defeats to Fortress and 100 Thieves in May) still retained non-zero market value unless a no-show was confirmed[3]. A true 0% implies the market expects ex-Sashi Academy to be absent or disqualified, not merely outclassed.
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for roster confirmations or match postponements, as delays beyond seven days trigger a 50–50 settlement. Recent live-score platforms show the match as “Live” with no prior head-to-head data, suggesting the event may be unresolved or delayed[1][2]. Any update from the European Pro League’s official channel regarding ex-Sashi Academy’s participation will be the primary catalyst for probability shifts.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group B across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium … on PolyGram
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