Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Walczaki and Inner Circle Esports in the Super DraculaN Playoffs, scheduled to begin at 15:00 UTC on 26 June 2026 in Bucharest. Walczaki, ranked 52 globally, lost a tight 2–1 Upper Bracket Final to Echo on 25 June, dropping to the quarter-finals after a strong Anubis win but failing on Nuke and Mirage[3][4]. Inner Circle Esports, ranked 58, recently advanced through playoffs with a 16–14 Best of 3 victory over Nexus, showing resilience in close games[5].

Historically, 0% crowd-implied probabilities for teams in similar BO3 quarter-final clashes often signal either a severe form gap or a critical absence, yet both sides here have demonstrated capacity to win tight maps. Comparable cases from the DraculaN Season 1 LAN show that teams ranked within six points of each other frequently overturn pre-match odds after the first map, especially when one side has just lost a high-stakes Upper Bracket match and faces a rested opponent[1][4]. Traders should watch for official roster announcements from Walczaki regarding their post-Echo loss, as coaching changes or player absences could explain the market’s extreme bearish stance[3].

Key catalysts include the live score feed at 15:00 UTC and any pre-match press statements from either team’s captain. Walczaki’s recent 2–1 loss to Echo suggests potential fatigue or tactical exposure, while Inner Circle’s narrow 16–14 win over Nexus indicates they can capitalise on small advantages[3][5]. The settlement window ends 21:00 UTC on 26 June 2026, and any delay beyond seven days without a winner resolves the market to 50–50[1]. Monitor the official DraculaN.gg schedule for any last-minute changes to the match time or venue, as LAN conditions in Bucharest can affect performance[7].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.