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Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

How the sports market is pricing "Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Ends in Daytime 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 100% Volume: $997K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100%
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)59%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 2 Winner42%
O/U 2.5 Games34%
Match Winner23%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Game Handicap: BoomBoys (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: boomboys vs aurora (bo3) - the international group stage stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between BoomBoys and Aurora in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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