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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - More Markets

How the sports market is pricing "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - More Markets" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% Both Teams Destroy Barracks 100% Any Player Ultra Kill 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Volume: $899K Liquidity: $86K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks100%
Any Player Ultra Kill100%
Ends in Daytime100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 95.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 105.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 100.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 110.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 115.5 in Game 1?100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
First Blood in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 125.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Team Falcons and OG meet in a best-of-two on 1 August, and the market’s 0% YES price implies traders are treating the “more markets” set as effectively unavailable unless there is a late change to the match environment. The historical frame is straightforward: Falcons have had the stronger edge in recent head-to-heads, winning three of the six series listed in one archive and leading the map count 8-6, with several recent meetings also going their way.[1] Other match-history pages show the same basic picture, even where the exact sample differs by database: Falcons have generally been the more reliable side across the 2024-2025 run of fixtures.[6][9]

For traders, the main catalysts are lineup confirmation and any schedule compression around the series itself. Because “more markets” outcomes usually depend on whether the match is played as planned, whether the format changes, or whether a team field changes alter pre-match pricing, the key watchpoints are official roster announcements, stand-in news, and any tournament updates close to start time. Recent series pages show Falcons already beat OG in late-2025 and again in early-2026, which supports the view that Falcons are the more stable reference point unless there is a fresh absence or substitution on either side.[6][8] If a beat reporter or organiser posts a last-minute roster note, that is the most likely trigger for movement; otherwise, the existing form line favours Falcons’ side of the matchup.[5][17]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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