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Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

How the sports market is pricing "Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 98% Ends in Daytime 90% Volume: $607K Liquidity: $509K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?98%
Ends in Daytime90%
Ends in Daytime90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?75%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?38%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between REKONIX and Vici Gaming in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 7 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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