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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

How the sports market is pricing "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Volume: $650K Liquidity: $913K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?50%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Spirit and Team Nemesis in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 8 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" i…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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