When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult… | Marchmadnessbracketpredictions 2026

Name: Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Start: 2026-10-16T13:19:25.000Z
End: 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	100%	0%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	See live odds →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	100%	0%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	See live odds →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	See live odds →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	See live odds →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
Game 1 Winner	100%
Game 2 Winner	100%
Match Winner	100%
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)	100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan	50%
Any Player Ultra Kill	50%
Any Player Rampage	50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan	50%
Any Player Ultra Kill	50%
Any Player Rampage	50%
Ends in Daytime	50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan	50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks	50%
Any Player Ultra Kill	50%
Any Player Rampage	50%
Ends in Daytime	1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks	1%
O/U 2.5 Games	0%
Ends in Daytime	0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks	0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: xtreme gaming vs yakult brothers (bo3) - blast slam china closed qualifier playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 Semifinal 2 match between Xtreme Gaming and Yakult Brothers in the BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 17, …

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?: Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?: Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?: Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?: Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?: Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Chris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editorand

Maya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

Trade Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLA… on March Madness Predictions

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Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLA… on March Madness Predictions

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