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Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Games of the Future Group C

How the sports market is pricing "Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Games of the Future Group C" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Ends in Daytime 100% Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5) 100% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? 100% Ends in Daytime 50% Volume: $315K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Games of the Future Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime100%
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?100%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
First Blood in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Yakult Brothers face Zero Tenacity in a best-of-three at Games of the Future Group C, with the market currently priced at 0% YES despite the series being scheduled to go ahead. The clearest recent form note is that Yakult Brothers have been in mixed shape, with one preview source saying they failed to reach The International and have not played an international LAN since March, while Zero Tenacity have been described as a solid European tier-two side that has been competing regularly.[1]

Historically, this pairing has already produced a clean Yakult Brothers win: they beat Zero Tenacity 2-0 in a February 2025 best-of-three, and the market context from that meeting matters because it shows the Chinese roster can outclass them when drafts land well.[9] More recent form data also points to a closer contest than a one-sided number suggests, with one odds board making Yakult Brothers a favourite at 1.60 and Zero Tenacity at 2.22, while another preview highlighted that Zero Tenacity have taken maps in most of their recent BO3s.[18][1]

For traders, the main catalysts are line-up confirmation, any late schedule shifts, and whether both teams field the same cores and coach setups that have been linked to their recent results. The market description says a delayed or abandoned match can still settle 50-50, so the practical risk is not only who wins, but whether the series is played to completion within the settlement window.[4] A live result page also indicates the match was tracked as having finished 0-2 in favour of Zero Tenacity, which, if correct, would make any stale pre-game pricing on Yakult Brothers particularly sensitive to missing real-time updates.[2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Games of the Future Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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