Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Yellow Submarine faces MODUS in the Lower Bracket Round 2 of The International 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier, a best-of-three match scheduled for 10:00 AM ET on 26 June. The crowd-implied probability of 0% for Yellow Submarine winning is starkly misaligned with their recent form, which shows a 69% winrate over the past half-year and a current two-match winstreak, whereas MODUS has struggled with a consistent 44% winrate across all recent periods, signalling chronic predictability and form issues[1]. Historical precedents in lower-bracket qualifiers often favour teams with higher momentum and tournament experience; Yellow Submarine ranks 29th in earnings with $25,500, reflecting stability, while MODUS sits at 78th with only $1,000, indicating limited high-level success[1].

Traders must monitor the live map progression, as the match is already underway on Map 1, with Yellow Submarine holding a 1-0 lead in the series[2]. Key catalysts include any roster substitutions or tactical shifts, particularly given MODUS’s blunt 0-2 loss to Natus Vincere, which exposed their difficulty handling top-tier tactical depth[1]. The settlement window ends 26 June 2026 at 19:00 UTC, and any cancellation or delay beyond seven days would resolve the market to 50-50, though the match is currently active[3]. Yellow Submarine’s recent recovery over 1win in the Riyadh Masters Lower Bracket Semifinal demonstrates their resilience under pressure, a trait MODUS lacks after their quick recovery over Rune Eaters on 23 June failed to offset broader inconsistency[1][4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.