Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 10% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 1% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 1% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
Market context
Karmine Corp Blue and Skillcamp Esport met in the LFL regular season in a best-of-one scheduled for 6 August, and the market’s 0% YES implies the crowd is treating Karmine Corp Blue as an overwhelming favourite. That is consistent with the spring head-to-head, when Karmine Corp Blue beat Skillcamp 1-0, and with the broader record trend in which Karmine Corp Blue have tended to sit above Skillcamp in form and ranking comparisons.[3][4]
The main historical frame is that single previous meeting: Karmine Corp Blue have won 1-0 in the only cited head-to-head, while Skillcamp’s results elsewhere have looked more volatile against stronger opposition.[3][8] Pre-match context from April described Karmine Corp Blue as sitting near the top of the table with a 3-1 start, whereas Skillcamp were still adapting after promotion from Division 2 and had dropped their recent games, which helps explain why traders may have priced this as a one-sided BO1 rather than a coin flip.[2] Even so, short-format League of Legends can compress variance, so a lone map always leaves room for upset risk.
For traders, the key catalysts are late roster and schedule confirmations rather than league narrative. The listed start time was 5:00 PM UTC, and live match pages suggest the fixture was active on 6 August, so any postponement, line-up change, or broadcast delay would be the main thing to verify before the settlement window closes.[3][5][7] If the game had not been completed, or if results were not finalised within seven days of the scheduled date, the rules would push the market to 50-50 rather than a normal win/loss resolution.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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