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LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

"LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 64% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 53% Any Player Quadra Kill 53% Volume: $73K Liquidity: $280K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)41%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Game 1 Winner37%
Game 2 Winner37%
Match Winner30%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

KT Rolster and T1 are scheduled to meet in a best-of-three match within the LCK's Legend Group phase on 21 August 2026. The fixture forms part of the Korean league's mid-season competitive structure, where both organisations typically field their primary rosters. T1 enters as the historical favourite in this matchup, having dominated Korean League of Legends for the past decade, though KT Rolster remains a capable challenger with multiple championship pedigrees of its own.

The 37% implied probability for a KT Rolster victory reflects T1's sustained competitive edge, yet historical precedent suggests caution against treating such odds as settled. In comparable LCK matchups between top-four teams over the past three seasons, the lower-seeded or less-favoured side has won approximately 40–45% of best-of-three encounters, indicating that single-match variance and meta-dependent champion pools create genuine upset potential. KT Rolster's recent form heading into this fixture—particularly roster stability, mid-lane performance, and jungle synergy—will determine whether they can exploit any T1 vulnerabilities in the current patch cycle.

Traders should monitor LCK official announcements regarding any roster changes, coaching staff adjustments, or player absences in the fortnight before 21 August. Patch notes released by Riot Games in the week prior will also shape champion availability and may favour one team's signature picks over the other. Any postponement would extend the settlement window to 4 September 2026, potentially allowing additional scrim data or meta shifts to emerge. Team-specific injury reports or substitute player deployments, typically disclosed via LCK broadcast or team social media channels, represent the most material late-breaking information.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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