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LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

"LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Volume: $219K Liquidity: $261K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%

Market context

Maryville University’s meeting with CCG Esports is a best-of-three group-stage match in the North American Challengers League, and the market’s **100% YES** price implies near-certainty that Maryville will be credited as the winner. That is consistent with the only head-to-head result in the results set: Maryville beat CCG 2-0 on 29 April 2026, with multiple match listings recording a straight sweep in their first meeting.[2][5][8]

The historical frame is therefore simple: Maryville has already shown it can beat this opponent cleanly, but a 100% implied probability leaves no room for the usual Bo3 variance, draft swings, or map-specific volatility that can still decide a series. Public team pages also point to recurring roster continuity for Maryville around players such as Yuuji, Keii, ScaryJerry, Spirax and Obstinatus, while CCG’s recent listings have featured names including Aojune, Fiji, Cody Sun, Dardoch and Only35, indicating neither side is a one-man project.[2][10][15]

For traders, the main catalysts are any last-minute roster or substitute confirmations, because line-up changes are the most obvious way to upset a market this far from settled. A second check is whether the series starts on time, since the market description says a match that is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner would resolve 50-50; the current listings still show the fixture as scheduled for 6 August at 21:00 UTC.[6][14] The fact that available market pages themselves are split on the pricing — one showing Maryville around 59¢ and another around 50% — also suggests the crowd is treating the event as much less certain than the 100% YES price implies.[9][13]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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