LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

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Market context

T1 and Team Liquid face off in the Upper Bracket Semifinals 2 of the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, a Best-of-5 match scheduled to begin at 4:00 AM ET on 28 June in Daejeon, South Korea. T1 has won four of their last five matches and holds Strafe’s world ranking of #29, while Team Liquid has won three of their last five but sits significantly lower at #112[1]. Strafe users already predict a T1 victory with 93.6% confidence, closely mirroring the 84% crowd-implied probability for this market[1]. Historically, T1’s recent MSI trajectory shows steady improvement: runners-up in 2022, third in 2023 and 2024, and now aiming for a title breakthrough[4]. Comparable cases where a top-ranked team faced a lower-ranked opponent in a BO5 at MSI often resulted in decisive wins for the higher-ranked side, especially when recent form favoured them heavily.

Traders should monitor any pre-match announcements regarding roster changes, player absences, or coaching adjustments, as these can shift momentum unexpectedly. Oner’s jungle performance has been described as neither standout nor poor during the regular season, but his MSI form could be a critical catalyst[8]. Team Liquid’s roster includes Impact, Umti, APA, Yeon, and CoreJJ, whose synergy against T1’s Zeus, Oner, Faker, Gumayusi, and Keria will determine the match outcome[2]. The settlement window ends on 28 June 2026 at 09:00 UTC, so any delay beyond seven days without a winner would resolve the market to 50-50. With the match set to kick off tomorrow, the key dependency is whether both teams remain fully operational and ready to compete at the scheduled time.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.