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Valorant: All Gamers vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins

Sports snapshot for "Valorant: All Gamers vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) 100% Volume: $114K Liquidity: $314K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Valorant: All Gamers vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5)0%

Market context

All Gamers and JD Gaming meet in the VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins upper-bracket semifinal, with the winner moving one step closer to the main event. JD Gaming arrive off a 2-1 win over FunPlus Phoenix, a useful sign because they were forced to recover after losing the opening map and still closed the series on Split and Sunset.[2][15][20]

That recent result is the clearest comparison point for the 100% YES price: JD Gaming have already shown they can win a best-of-three in this bracket, while All Gamers are being asked to match that level in a single elimination setting. The market is also sensitive to the fact that this is a play-in match rather than a long series of repeat meetings, so one strong or weak draft, pistol conversion, or map veto can swing the outcome more sharply than in group play.[2][8][12]

Traders should watch for any updated start-time notice, roster confirmation, or bracket reshuffle, because the settlement rules fall back to 50-50 if the match is not played or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner. JD Gaming’s recent stage results also show their form has been uneven across the wider event, with losses to teams such as FPX, EDG and TYL in group play before that play-in rebound, so any late news on preparation, player availability, or map pool could matter more than the crowd price suggests.[14][15][20]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Valorant: All Gamers vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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