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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

How the sports market is pricing "Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 90% Volume: $441K Liquidity: $494K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map Handicap: SGE (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)72%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.545%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)30%
O/U 2.5 Games28%
Map 2 Winner27%
Match Winner19%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%

Market context

The Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins prediction market currently prices this outcome at 90% YES. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between Gentle Mates and Eintracht Frankfurt in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 11:00AM ET. This market will…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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