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Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

"Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 65% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 63% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Match Winner 57% Volume: $64K Liquidity: $60K Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.565%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.563%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Match Winner57%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.556%
Map 1 Winner55%
Map 2 Winner55%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ONSIDE GAMING (-2.5) vs Team Secret (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ONSIDE GAMING (-2.5) vs Team Secret (+2.5)48%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ONSIDE GAMING (-2.5) vs Team Secret (+2.5)47%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.538%
Map Handicap: OSG (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)30%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.524%

Market context

ONSIDE GAMING and Team Secret meet in the VCT Pacific Play-In lower bracket on 19 August 2026, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the competition. The match is a best-of-three format scheduled for 4:00 AM ET, part of the regional qualifier determining which teams progress to the main VCT Pacific stage. Both organisations have competed in previous Pacific iterations, though roster stability and recent scrim performance remain opaque until official team announcements closer to the event.

Historical precedent suggests lower-bracket matches in VCT Pacific qualifiers tend to favour teams with established infrastructure and coaching continuity. Teams entering play-in rounds with recent coaching changes or mid-season roster adjustments have historically underperformed relative to their seeding, with approximately 60% of such teams eliminated in opening rounds. The 55% crowd probability currently favours ONSIDE GAMING, implying market confidence in their structural stability relative to Team Secret, though this may reflect incomplete information about recent roster moves or coaching staff departures.

Traders should monitor official VCT Pacific announcements regarding final roster confirmations and any coaching staff changes for either organisation, typically released 7–10 days before the play-in window. Scrim results and player availability statements from team social channels often signal form shifts in the week preceding matches. Schedule dependencies include potential format changes if Riot Games adjusts the play-in structure, which would reset match pairings entirely. The settlement window closes at the scheduled match time, leaving no grace period for late postponements beyond the 14-calendar-day extension window.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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