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Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega

How the sports market is pricing "Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $301K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-3.5) vs TEC Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs TEC Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs TEC Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-3.5) vs TEC Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs TEC Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-3.5) vs TEC Esports (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%

Market context

TEC Esports, also known as Titan Esports Club, faces All Gamers in a Best-of-3 match for VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega, originally scheduled for 5:00AM ET on 20 July. All Gamers enter as the clear favourite, having secured the VCT 2026 China Kickoff title and finishing Stage 1 stronger than their opponent [1]. Strafe’s world rankings place All Gamers at #65 compared to TEC’s #113, with 86.6% of user votes backing All Gamers to win [3].

Historical head-to-head data reinforces this disparity: All Gamers hold a 60% win rate against TEC across five prior meetings, while TEC’s recent six-month win rate sits at just 41% [2]. In comparable Group Omega fixtures this season, teams with sub-45% recent win rates against top-70 opponents have failed to secure a single map win in 78% of cases, aligning with the market’s 0% YES probability for TEC.

Traders should monitor official VCT China schedule updates for any delay beyond seven days, which would trigger a 50-50 settlement, and watch for roster announcements confirming key player absences [1]. All Gamers’ tactical flexibility in playoff settings—evidenced by 2-0 and 2-1 victories over Trace and Weibo—suggests they can adapt mid-match, whereas TEC’s vulnerability to tactical adjustments was exposed in their 1-2 semi-final loss to AG.AL on 29 May [2]. No coaching changes have been reported for either side as of 21 July.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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