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What price will Ethereum hit August 3-9?

"What price will Ethereum hit August 3-9?" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

↓ 1,800 52% ↑ 2,000 16% ↓ 1,700 12% ↑ 2,100 5% Volume: $56K Liquidity: $191K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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What price will Ethereum hit August 3-9?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
↓ 1,80052%
↑ 2,00016%
↓ 1,70012%
↑ 2,1005%
↓ 1,6004%
↑ 2,2002%
↓ 1,5002%
↑ 2,5001%
↑ 2,4001%
↑ 2,3001%
↓ 1,4001%
↑ 2,6000%
↓ 1,3000%
↓ 1,2000%

Market context

Ethereum is trading far below its August 2025 peak, and that matters for how to read any market on whether it can print a higher price during 3–9 August 2026. Recent live data put ETH around $1,740-$1,790, while one year ago it was closer to $3,100 and at its all-time high it reached roughly $4,954, so the current baseline is a deep drawdown rather than a trend already pressing into record territory.[1][7][11] That makes a “0% YES” crowd view consistent with a market that is asking for a meaningful break above the recent range rather than a routine daily fluctuation.[1][6][11]

Comparable readings from the last week show ETH repeatedly trading in a relatively tight band, with CoinGecko logging a 7-day range of $1,653.52-$1,827.49 and a 24-hour range of $1,713.58-$1,757.93, while Twelve Data’s July prints show closes mostly around $1.64K-$1.79K.[6][11] Against that backdrop, trader attention should focus on whether spot ETF flows, stablecoin liquidity and broader risk appetite improve enough to push ETH through the upper end of that band; CryptoRank noted a third straight week of spot ETH ETF inflows and argued that trendline resistance and weaker Binance stablecoin netflows were still acting as headwinds.[13] In practical terms, the key catalyst is less a single Ethereum-native event than whether fresh inflows or a macro risk rally arrive during the settlement window.[13][18]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for What price will Ethereum hit August 3-9?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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