Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
33% | 67% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
33% | 67% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| DR Congo (-1.5) | 33% DR Congo | 67% Uzbekistan |
| DR Congo (-2.5) | 14% DR Congo | 86% Uzbekistan |
| O/U 0.5 | 93% Over | 8% Under |
| O/U 2.5 | 45% Over | 56% Under |
| O/U 4.5 | 11% Over | 90% Under |
| Both Teams to Score | 46% YES | 55% NO |
Market context
The underlying event is the FIFA World Cup Group K match between DR Congo and Uzbekistan at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, scheduled for 7:30 PM ET on 27 June 2026. DR Congo must win to progress, while Uzbekistan has already been eliminated from the tournament[5].
Historically, matches where one side faces elimination pressure and the other is desperate for a win to advance often produce fewer goals than the market initially expects, particularly when the eliminated team adopts a cautious, defensive posture. Comparable cases from recent World Cups show that when a team knows only a win suffices, they frequently commit heavily to attack, but the eliminated opponent’s lack of motivation can lead to a disjointed, low-scoring contest rather than an open, high-goal affair[4].
Traders should monitor pre-match announcements regarding key absences, particularly any late injuries to DR Congo’s attacking players, and check for tactical shifts in Uzbekistan’s lineup that might signal a defensive focus. Recent beat reports indicate DR Congo’s win probability sits at 51%, suggesting market confidence in their offensive output, but any delay in Uzbekistan’s final squad confirmation could alter the expected goal count[4]. The settlement window closes at 23:30 UTC on 27 June, so all in-play data up to that point will determine the outcome[2].
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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