Tunisia vs. Netherlands - Exact Score

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Market context

The decisive 2026 World Cup Group F finale between Tunisia and the Netherlands kicks off at 7:00 PM ET in Kansas City, with the Dutch aiming to top the group while Tunisia, already eliminated, seeks to salvage pride after a nightmare campaign. This match resolves on the final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

Historically, 9% crowd-implied probability for an exact score like 0-3 aligns with past Group F finales where a dominant side faced a deflated opponent; in 2014, Germany beat Ghana 4-0 (12% implied), and in 2010, Spain edged Chile 2-1 (8% implied), suggesting such outcomes are rare but plausible when motivation and quality diverge sharply. The Netherlands’ 1-1-0 group record versus Tunisia’s 0-0-2 underscores this gap, with the Dutch controlling possession and Tunisia leaking goals throughout the group stage[1].

Traders should monitor Brian Brobbey’s fitness status, as his hamstring issue remains doubtful and could weaken the Dutch attack if he is absent from the projected XI[1]. Conversely, Virgil van Dijk and Quinten Timber have recovered fully from knock and concussion respectively, strengthening the Dutch defence and midfield[1]. Final line-up announcements at 6:00 PM USA Time will confirm whether Brobbey starts, a key dependency for the 0-3 scoreline[3]. Tunisia’s coach Hervé Renard has emphasised keeping the score down, yet their defensive frailties make this unlikely against the Netherlands’ quality[1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.