Bitcoin price on June 25?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin’s price trajectory in mid-2026 remains anchored by a volatile correction from its October 2025 peak of $126,198, with the asset now oscillating near $60,000–$61,000 as traders assess whether this range represents a stabilisation or a further decline[2][4]. Historical parallels from early 2026 show Bitcoin dipping to $60,074 in February before rebounding modestly, suggesting that current levels near $60,934 on June 25 are consistent with a floor rather than a breakout[4][3]. The market-implied 0% probability for a higher close reflects this entrenched downward pressure, where even minor rallies have failed to sustain above $65,000 since March[2][4].

Traders should monitor the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest-rate decision and any potential shifts in US crypto-regulation policy, both of which could trigger sharp volatility in the coming weeks[6]. Recent data from Binance shows BTC/USDT trading at $59,650, with 24-hour volume at $49.6B, indicating persistent selling pressure despite short-term fluctuations[5][7]. A key catalyst will be the release of Q2 institutional inflow figures from major ETFs, which may signal whether large investors are accumulating or exiting positions[6]. Until such data emerges, the price is likely to remain range-bound, with little chance of a sustained move above $65,000 before the settlement window closes.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.