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Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?

How the sports market is pricing "Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Creeper 100% Skeleton 100% Spider 100% Wither Skeleton 100% Volume: $138K Liquidity: $29K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Creeper100%
Skeleton100%
Spider100%
Wither Skeleton100%
Zombified Piglin100%
Creeper (again)100%
Zombie50%
Wither Skeleton (again)50%
Creeper (again)50%
Skeleton (again)50%
Creeper (again)25%
Polar Bear10%
Piglin5%
Zombie (again)5%
Ghast4%
Blaze3%
Skeleton (again)2%
Enderman1%
Phantom1%
Iron Golem1%
Witch1%
Pillager1%
Hoglin1%
Wither Skeleton (again)1%
Zombified Piglin (again)1%
Warden1%
Elder Guardian1%
Vex1%
Spider (again)1%
Slime0%
Wither0%
Ender Dragon0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, which mobs will eliminate kai or speed? stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET, in which they will attempt to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, …

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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