🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogSee live odds →

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

How the sports market is pricing "Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Victor Marx 80% Barbara Kirkmeyer 17% Scott Bottoms 0% Joshua Griffin 0% Volume: $471K Liquidity: $354K Closes: 30 Jun 2026
Open live market →
Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Victor Marx80%
Barbara Kirkmeyer17%
Scott Bottoms0%
Joshua Griffin0%
Greg Lopez0%
Will McBride0%
Stevan Gess0%
Brycen Garrison0%
Daniel Thomas0%
Other0%
Candidate B0%
Candidate D0%
Candidate F0%
Candidate H0%
Candidate J0%
Candidate L0%
Candidate N0%
Candidate P0%
Candidate R0%
Candidate T0%
Candidate V0%
Candidate X0%
Candidate Z0%
Mark Baisley0%
Jason Clark0%
Jason Mikesell0%
Jon Gray-Ginsberg0%
Bob Brinkerhoff0%
Robert Moore0%
Candidate A0%
Candidate C0%
Candidate E0%
Candidate G0%
Candidate I0%
Candidate K0%
Candidate M0%
Candidate O0%
Candidate Q0%
Candidate S0%
Candidate U0%
Candidate W0%
Candidate Y0%

Market context

Market consensus: 80% chance of colorado governor republican primary winner. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overa…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

Trade Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner on March Madness Predictions

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Politics