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Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?

Sports snapshot for "Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Angela Rayner 100% Wes Streeting 100% Yvette Cooper 100% Shabana Mahmood 100% Volume: $151K Liquidity: $179K Closes: 31 Dec 2026
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Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Angela Rayner100%
Wes Streeting100%
Yvette Cooper100%
Shabana Mahmood100%
Pat McFadden100%
Bridget Phillipson100%
Ed Miliband100%
Lisa Nandy100%
Heidi Alexander100%
Jonathan Reynolds100%
Alan Campbell100%
John Healey100%
Louise Haigh100%
Catherine West6%
Jacqui Smith4%
Jess Phillips3%
James Murray2%
Ian Murray2%
Keir Starmer1%
Rachel Reeves1%
David Lammy1%
Darren Jones1%
Steve Reed1%
Dan Jarvis1%
Liz Kendall1%
Peter Kyle1%
Hilary Benn1%
Jo Stevens1%
Patrick Vallance1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to who will be in the burnham cabinet?. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise,…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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