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2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Sports snapshot for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Aryna Sabalenka 23% Iga Swiatek 19% Elena Rybakina 11% Mirra Andreeva 7% Volume: $2.9M Liquidity: $512K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
23% 77% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
23% 77% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Aryna Sabalenka23%
Iga Swiatek19%
Elena Rybakina11%
Mirra Andreeva7%
Coco Gauff5%
Naomi Osaka4%
Amanda Anisimova3%
Jessica Pegula3%
Victoria Mboko3%
Elina Svitolina3%
Karolina Muchova2%
Alexandra Eala2%
Qinwen Zheng1%
Madison Keys1%
Barbora Krejcikova1%
Emma Navarro1%
Clara Tauson1%
Belinda Bencic1%
Emma Raducanu1%
Linda Noskova1%
Jasmine Paolini1%
Diana Shnaider1%
Anastasia Potapova1%
Marketa Vondrousova0%
Paula Badosa0%
Maya Joint0%
Ekaterina Alexandrova0%
Jelena Ostapenko0%
Daria Kasatkina0%
Tereza Valentova0%
Donna Vekic0%
Dayana Yastremska0%
Liudmila Samsonova0%
Xiyu Wang0%
Ashlyn Krueger0%
Marie Bouzkova0%
Beatriz Haddad Maia0%
Elise Mertens0%
Sofia Kenin0%
Katie Boulter0%
Other0%
Player A0%
Player B0%
Player C0%
Player D0%
Player E0%
Player F0%
Player G0%
Player H0%
Player I0%
Player J0%
Player K0%
Player L0%
Player M0%
Player N0%
Player O0%
Player P0%
Player Q0%
Player R0%
Player S0%
Player T0%
Player U0%
Player V0%
Player W0%
Player X0%
Player Y0%
Player Z0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 23% probability to 2026 women’s us open winner (tennis). The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point …

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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