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Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena

How the sports market is pricing "Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Completed Match 100% Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $186K Closes: 3 Oct 2026
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Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Game Spread +/-3.5100%
Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena0%
Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 1 Winner0%
Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 2 Winner0%
Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 21.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 22.50%
Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of buenos aires 2: pedro boscardin dias vs facundo mena. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Boscardin Dias and Facundo Mena in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market w…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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