Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti Game Spread +/-0.5 | 100% |
| Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti | 0% |
| Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of genoa 2: mika petkovic vs francesco forti. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Mika Petkovic and Francesco Forti in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve…
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti on March Madness Predictions
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →