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Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro

How the sports market is pricing "Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro 100% Completed Match 100% Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro Set 2 Winner 100% Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro Match O/U 21.5 100% Volume: $251K Liquidity: $682K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro100%
Completed Match100%
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro Set 2 Winner100%
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro Match O/U 21.5100%
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro Match O/U 22.5100%
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro Match O/U 23.5100%
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro Set 1 Winner0%
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro. This market refers to the tennis match between Henri Squire and Francesco Passaro in the Trieste, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henri Squire' if Hen…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Trieste: Henri Squire vs Francesco Passaro. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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