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SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets

How the sports market is pricing "SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

O/U 0.5 99% FC Bayern München O/U 0.5 98% O/U 1.5 96% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 93% Volume: $78K Liquidity: $830K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
99% 1% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
99% 1% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.599%
FC Bayern München O/U 0.598%
O/U 1.596%
2nd Half O/U 0.593%
1st Half O/U 0.589%
FC Bayern München O/U 1.589%
O/U 2.586%
FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 0.583%
2nd Half O/U 1.575%
FC Bayern München O/U 2.574%
FC Bayern München (-1.5)70%
O/U 3.570%
FC Bayern München 2nd Half O/U 1.569%
FC Bayern München 2nd Half O/U 0.568%
SV 07 Elversberg O/U 0.565%
Both Teams to Score64%
1st Half O/U 1.563%
O/U 4.553%
FC Bayern München (-2.5)52%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 1.549%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half48%
SV 07 Elversberg 2nd Half O/U 0.547%
SV 07 Elversberg 1st Half O/U 0.537%
O/U 5.535%
1st Half O/U 2.535%
SV 07 Elversberg 2nd Half O/U 1.531%
Both Teams to Score in First Half30%
SV 07 Elversberg O/U 1.528%
SV 07 Elversberg O/U 2.58%
SV 07 Elversberg 1st Half O/U 1.58%
SV 07 Elversberg (-1.5)2%
SV 07 Elversberg (-2.5)0%

Market context

SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 2% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-13T15:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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