When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Florida vs. Texas | Marchmadnessbracketpredictions 2026

Name: Florida vs. Texas
Start: 2026-10-06T00:13:48.000Z
End: 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	100%	0%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	See live odds →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	100%	0%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	See live odds →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	See live odds →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	See live odds →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
1Q O/U 7.5	100%
2Q O/U 7.5	100%
1Q Spread -0.5	100%
1Q Spread -1.5	100%
1Q Spread -2.5	100%
1Q Spread -3.5	100%
1Q Spread -5.5	100%
Spread -0.5	95%
Spread -6.5	93%
Spread -4.5	92%
Spread -2.5	91%
Spread -3.5	91%
Spread -1.5	90%
O/U 35.5	90%
1H Spread -7.5	90%
Spread -5.5	89%
Texas O/U 23.5	89%
1H Spread -4.5	87%
1H Spread -6.5	86%
Spread -7.5	85%
O/U 39.5	84%
Spread -8.5	83%
O/U 37.5	83%
O/U 41.5	78%
O/U 43.5	77%
Spread -10.5	76%
2Q O/U 16.5	76%
2Q Spread -3.5	75%
Spread -13.5	74%
Spread -14.5	73%
O/U 45.5	71%
Spread -16.5	65%
3Q O/U 7.5	64%
4Q Spread -3.5	64%
3Q O/U 13.5	63%
Spread -17.5	60%
O/U 47.5	59%
Texas 1H O/U 16.5	56%
Spread -20.5	53%
Texas 1H O/U 12.5	53%
Texas 1H O/U 14.5	53%
3Q Spread -2.5	53%
4Q Spread -2.5	53%
1H O/U 21.5	51%
2Q O/U 10.5	51%
2Q O/U 13.5	51%
Texas O/U 26.5	51%
Texas 2H O/U 14.5	51%
Florida vs. Texas: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5	51%
1H Spread -2.5	51%
3Q Spread -0.5	51%
Spread -20.5	50%
Spread -16.5	50%
Spread -8.5	50%
Spread -0.5	50%
1H O/U 24.5	50%
1H O/U 27.5	50%
1H O/U 33.5	50%
2H O/U 21.5	50%
2H O/U 24.5	50%
2H O/U 27.5	50%
2H O/U 30.5	50%
2H O/U 33.5	50%
3Q O/U 10.5	50%
3Q O/U 16.5	50%
4Q O/U 10.5	50%
Florida O/U 20.5	50%
Florida O/U 23.5	50%
Florida O/U 26.5	50%
Florida O/U 29.5	50%
Florida O/U 32.5	50%
Texas O/U 29.5	50%
Texas O/U 32.5	50%
Texas O/U 35.5	50%
Florida 1H O/U 11.5	50%
Florida 1H O/U 13.5	50%
Florida 1H O/U 15.5	50%
Florida 2H O/U 11.5	50%
Florida 2H O/U 13.5	50%
Florida 2H O/U 15.5	50%
Texas 2H O/U 12.5	50%
Texas 2H O/U 16.5	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2	50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4	50%
Pick-Six Scored	50%
Game Goes to Overtime	50%
Florida vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5	50%
Florida vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5	50%
Florida vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5	50%
Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Florida Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
Florida Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Florida Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Texas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
Texas Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Florida Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Florida Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
Texas Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Florida Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Texas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
Texas Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Florida vs. Texas: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
Texas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Florida vs. Texas: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
1H Spread -5.5	50%
1H Spread -9.5	50%
2H Spread -2.5	50%
2H Spread -4.5	50%
2H Spread -5.5	50%
2H Spread -6.5	50%
2H Spread -7.5	50%
2H Spread -9.5	50%
2Q Spread -0.5	50%
2Q Spread -2.5	50%
2Q Spread -4.5	50%
2Q Spread -5.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -5.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -0.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -5.5	50%
2H Moneyline	50%
Florida O/U 2.5	50%
Texas O/U 3.5	50%
1H Moneyline	50%
2Q Moneyline	50%
3Q Moneyline	50%
4Q Moneyline	50%
O/U 49.5	49%
Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	49%
1Q O/U 10.5	47%
1Q O/U 13.5	47%
1Q O/U 16.5	47%
1Q O/U 19.5	47%
4Q O/U 13.5	47%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1	47%
O/U 51.5	46%
Spread -13.5	45%
Spread -14.5	43%
3Q Spread -3.5	43%
O/U 53.5	42%
4Q O/U 7.5	42%
2Q Spread -7.5	40%
Spread -10.5	38%
O/U 55.5	37%
2Q O/U 19.5	36%
O/U 61.5	32%
O/U 57.5	26%
Spread -17.5	25%
O/U 73.5	25%
4Q O/U 16.5	25%
Spread -2.5	24%
O/U 59.5	23%
3Q O/U 19.5	16%
O/U 63.5	14%
4Q O/U 19.5	14%
1H O/U 30.5	13%
O/U 65.5	12%
O/U 67.5	12%
Spread -5.5	8%
O/U 69.5	8%
O/U 75.5	8%
Spread -1.5	7%
O/U 71.5	7%
Florida vs. Texas	5%
Spread -6.5	5%
Spread -4.5	5%
Spread -3.5	4%
Spread -7.5	3%
1Q Moneyline	1%
1Q Spread -1.5	0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to florida vs. texas. In the upcoming college football game between Florida and Texas, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game. This market will resolve to "Tex…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q O/U 7.5 at 100% for "Florida vs. Texas".

1Q O/U 7.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $216K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Florida vs. Texas. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?: Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?: Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?: Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?: Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?: Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Chris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editorand

Maya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

Trade Florida vs. Texas on March Madness Predictions

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Florida vs. Texas

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Florida vs. Texas on March Madness Predictions

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