Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 94% |
| O/U 37.5 | 94% |
| O/U 39.5 | 94% |
| O/U 41.5 | 93% |
| O/U 43.5 | 92% |
| O/U 45.5 | 89% |
| South Alabama O/U 20.5 | 89% |
| O/U 47.5 | 87% |
| O/U 49.5 | 87% |
| South Alabama O/U 23.5 | 84% |
| O/U 51.5 | 80% |
| O/U 53.5 | 79% |
| Marshall O/U 23.5 | 78% |
| O/U 55.5 | 74% |
| O/U 57.5 | 71% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 68% |
| O/U 59.5 | 64% |
| O/U 61.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 57% |
| South Alabama vs. Marshall | 56% |
| O/U 63.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 55% |
| O/U 65.5 | 55% |
| Marshall O/U 29.5 | 55% |
| 1H Moneyline | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| South Alabama O/U 26.5 | 54% |
| Marshall O/U 26.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| South Alabama O/U 32.5 | 51% |
| South Alabama 1H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Marshall 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Marshall 1H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| South Alabama 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| South Alabama 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Marshall 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| South Alabama O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Marshall O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Marshall 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Marshall: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Marshall: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Marshall: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Marshall 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Marshall 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Marshall Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Marshall: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Alabama vs. Marshall: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Marshall O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Marshall 2H O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 48% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 48% |
| South Alabama vs. Marshall: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| O/U 67.5 | 46% |
| Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| O/U 69.5 | 43% |
| Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 42% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 41% |
| Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| Marshall O/U 35.5 | 39% |
| Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| Marshall 1H O/U 16.5 | 37% |
| O/U 71.5 | 36% |
| Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| O/U 73.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| O/U 75.5 | 28% |
| Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| Spread -8.5 | 21% |
| Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| Spread -16.5 | 16% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
Market context
Market consensus: 94% chance of south alabama vs. marshall. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between South Alabama and Marshall, scheduled for October 20 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Alabama" if South Alabama win th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $129K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for South Alabama vs. Marshall. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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