Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
86% | 14% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
86% | 14% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| South Florida vs. Bowling Green | 86% |
| O/U 36.5 | 81% |
| O/U 28.5 | 78% |
| O/U 30.5 | 78% |
| O/U 32.5 | 77% |
| Spread -3.5 | 76% |
| Spread -1.5 | 76% |
| O/U 34.5 | 76% |
| O/U 38.5 | 72% |
| Spread -4.5 | 71% |
| O/U 40.5 | 71% |
| O/U 42.5 | 69% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 69% |
| Spread -10.5 | 68% |
| Spread -9.5 | 67% |
| South Florida O/U 27.5 | 66% |
| Spread -7.5 | 64% |
| Spread -11.5 | 62% |
| O/U 44.5 | 60% |
| O/U 46.5 | 58% |
| Spread -13.5 | 56% |
| Spread -12.5 | 56% |
| Spread -14.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 53% |
| Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| O/U 48.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| South Florida O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| Spread -38.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| South Florida vs. Bowling Green: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 49% |
| Spread -19.5 | 47% |
| Spread -18.5 | 47% |
| Spread -17.5 | 45% |
| O/U 50.5 | 44% |
| South Florida O/U 33.5 | 44% |
| Spread -22.5 | 41% |
| O/U 52.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 38% |
| Spread -25.5 | 36% |
| Spread -20.5 | 36% |
| Spread -24.5 | 35% |
| Spread -21.5 | 35% |
| O/U 58.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 34% |
| Spread -26.5 | 33% |
| O/U 54.5 | 32% |
| O/U 62.5 | 32% |
| Spread -31.5 | 31% |
| O/U 64.5 | 31% |
| O/U 56.5 | 30% |
| O/U 68.5 | 29% |
| Spread -23.5 | 28% |
| Bowling Green O/U 20.5 | 26% |
| O/U 60.5 | 23% |
| O/U 66.5 | 16% |
| Spread -2.5 | 12% |
| Spread -35.5 | 8% |
Market context
Market consensus: 86% chance of south florida vs. bowling green. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between South Florida and Bowling Green, scheduled for September 26 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Florida" if South Florida…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $382K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for South Florida vs. Bowling Green. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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