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Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C

"Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $297K Liquidity: $852K Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5)10%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+6.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+6.5)0%
Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-6.5) vs SPARTA (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ NXT (-9.5) vs SPARTA (+9.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: sparta vs mouz nxt (bo3) - esl challenger league europe cup #4 group c. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between SPARTA and MOUZ NXT in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C, initially scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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