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Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

Sports snapshot for "Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 91% First Blood in Game 1? 90% Ends in Daytime 90% Volume: $341K Liquidity: $605K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner91%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Ends in Daytime90%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?75%
Game 2 Winner74%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?54%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: 1win vs vici gaming (bo3) - esports world cup survival stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between 1win and Vici Gaming in the Esports World Cup Survival, initially scheduled for July 15 at 10:30AM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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