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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs

How the sports market is pricing "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 56% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 56% Ends in Daytime 53% Ends in Daytime 53% Volume: $68K Liquidity: $522K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?56%
Ends in Daytime53%
Ends in Daytime53%
Ends in Daytime52%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?42%
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)39%
Both Teams Beat Roshan38%
Game 1 Winner37%
Game 2 Winner37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks35%
Any Player Ultra Kill35%
Match Winner32%
Any Player Ultra Kill32%
Any Player Ultra Kill30%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Any Player Rampage20%
Any Player Rampage20%
Any Player Rampage19%

Market context

Market consensus: 56% chance of dota 2: team spirit vs team vision (bo3) - the international playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Team Spirit and TEAM VISION in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 4…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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