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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Sports snapshot for "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 74% Match Winner 68% Game 1 Winner 65% Game 2 Winner 65% Volume: $63K Liquidity: $68K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?74%
Match Winner68%
Game 1 Winner65%
Game 2 Winner65%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?62%
Any Player Ultra Kill52%
Any Player Rampage52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
Ends in Daytime51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)44%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks32%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks31%
Any Player Ultra Kill30%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Any Player Rampage13%
Any Player Rampage8%

Market context

Market consensus: 74% chance of dota 2: team spirit vs xtreme gaming (bo3) - the international group stage. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Spirit and Xtreme Gaming in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13 at 1:00AM ET. This mar…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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