Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| SBV Excelsior | 100% |
| SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden host SBV Excelsior in an Eredivisie meeting that lands with little margin for error, especially if the market is already pricing a low-probability outcome. The head-to-head record is mixed rather than one-sided: historical databases put Cambuur narrowly ahead or level over recent samples, but the fixture has also produced several clear Excelsior wins, including 4-1 in 2024 and 1-0 in 2025, so recent dominance has not been sustained by either side[10][13][15].
For traders, the key read-through is whether either club has preserved its summer momentum or has been hit by late squad disruption. Soccerway-style match pages and live team pages typically update line-ups close to kick-off, while BBC and ESPN match listings show the sides meeting again after those recent competitive and pre-season encounters, which makes any coaching tweak, suspension, or injury announcement especially relevant to how this market moves in the final hours[7][10][16]. If either team rotates heavily from its most recent competitive XI, the market should react quickly because this pairing has often swung on game state and finishing rather than sustained territorial control[1][17].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $101K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior on March Madness Predictions
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →