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Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props

How the sports market is pricing "Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots 91% Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots 88% Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots 75% Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots 70% Volume: $133K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots91%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots88%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots75%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots70%
Rayan: 1+ shots64%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots59%
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots56%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals + assists54%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ shots54%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots53%
Endrick: 1+ shots53%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ shots51%
Casemiro: 1+ shots51%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ shots51%
Lucas Paquetá: 4+ goals + assists50%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ goals + assists50%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ shots50%
Alisson: 4+ saves49%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ goals + assists49%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots on target49%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots on target49%
Raphinha: 2+ shots on target49%
Danilo Santos: 4+ goals + assists49%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ shots on target49%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ shots on target49%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ shots on target49%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ shots on target48%
Casemiro: 2+ shots on target48%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ shots on target48%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ shots on target48%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ shots on target48%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ shots on target48%
Neymar Jr: 3+ shots on target48%
Keito Nakamura: 3+ goals + assists48%
Keito Nakamura: 4+ goals + assists48%
Alisson: 5+ saves48%
Keisuke Ōsako: 4+ saves48%
Keisuke Ōsako: 5+ saves48%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ goals + assists48%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ goals + assists48%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals + assists48%
Endrick: 1+ shots on target48%
Endrick: 2+ shots on target48%
Endrick: 3+ shots on target48%
Luiz Henrique: 4+ shots on target48%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots on target48%
Koki Ogawa: 4+ shots on target48%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ shots47%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ shots on target47%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ shots on target47%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ shots on target47%
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots on target47%
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots on target47%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ goals + assists47%
Rayan: 3+ shots on target47%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots on target47%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots on target47%
Alisson: 2+ saves47%
Keisuke Ōsako: 2+ saves47%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals + assists47%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots on target47%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots on target47%
Endrick: 4+ shots on target47%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots on target47%
Neymar Jr: 4+ shots on target47%
Raphinha: 3+ shots on target47%
Raphinha: 4+ shots on target47%
Danilo Santos: 2+ shots on target47%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ shots on target47%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ shots on target47%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ shots on target47%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ shots on target47%
Neymar Jr: 4+ goals + assists46%
Rayan: 4+ goals + assists46%
Casemiro: 4+ goals + assists46%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ shots46%
Keisuke Ōsako: 3+ saves46%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ goals + assists46%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ shots45%
Bruno Guimarães: 4+ goals + assists45%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots44%
Daizen Maeda: 4+ goals + assists41%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots on target41%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals39%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots on target38%
Endrick: 2+ shots37%
Danilo Santos: 1+ shots37%
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals + assists36%
Casemiro: 1+ goals + assists36%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals + assists35%
Rayan: 2+ shots34%
Rayan: 1+ shots on target32%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ shots32%
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots31%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ shots31%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots30%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots30%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals30%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots on target29%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals + assists28%
Neymar Jr: 3+ goals + assists27%
Daizen Maeda: 3+ goals + assists27%
Alisson: 3+ saves27%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots26%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ shots26%
Danilo Santos: 3+ goals + assists26%
Endrick: 3+ shots25%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ shots25%
Casemiro: 2+ goals + assists25%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ goals + assists25%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals + assists25%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ shots24%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assists24%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots24%
Danilo Santos: 2+ goals + assists24%
Rayan: 3+ goals + assists23%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ goals + assists23%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ goals + assists23%
Danilo Santos: 2+ shots23%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ shots22%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ shots22%
Luiz Henrique: 5+ shots22%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ shots21%
Rayan: 3+ shots20%
Neymar Jr: 2+ goals + assists20%
Rayan: 1+ goals + assists20%
Rayan: 2+ goals + assists20%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ goals + assists20%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals + assists20%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ shots20%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals19%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ shots on target19%
Casemiro: 1+ shots on target19%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots on target19%
Koki Ogawa: 5+ shots19%
Danilo Santos: 1+ goals + assists19%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots18%
Matheus Cunha: 5+ shots18%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ goals + assists18%
Rayan: 1+ goals18%
Endrick: 4+ shots17%
Luiz Henrique: 4+ shots17%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ assists16%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ assists16%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goals + assists16%
Vinícius Júnior: 5+ shots14%
Casemiro: 2+ shots14%
Neymar Jr: 3+ shots14%
Endrick: 1+ goals14%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ shots14%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goals14%
Rayan: 4+ shots13%
Neymar Jr: 1+ assists13%
Koki Ogawa: 4+ shots13%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots13%
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals13%
Rayan: 2+ shots on target13%
Danilo Santos: 1+ shots on target13%
Rayan: 3+ goals12%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ shots on target12%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ goals12%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals + assists12%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ shots11%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ goals11%
Igor Thiago: 3+ goals11%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ assists11%
Endrick: 5+ shots11%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals10%
Rayan: 1+ assists10%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots on target10%
Lucas Paquetá: 4+ shots10%
Igor Thiago: 1+ goals10%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ goals10%
Bruno Guimarães: 3+ goals + assists10%
Casemiro: 3+ goals + assists10%
Neymar Jr: 4+ shots10%
Rayan: 5+ shots9%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals9%
Neymar Jr: 2+ assists9%
Rayan: 2+ assists9%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ goals9%
Ayase Ueda: 5+ shots9%
Neymar Jr: 5+ shots9%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ goals + assists9%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ goals9%
Casemiro: 1+ goals8%
Casemiro: 1+ assists8%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ goals8%
Igor Thiago: 5+ shots8%
Lucas Paquetá: 5+ shots8%
Raphinha: 1+ shots on target7%
Danilo Santos: 1+ assists7%
Igor Thiago: 2+ goals6%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ assists6%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ assists6%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals6%
Neymar Jr: 2+ goals6%
Danilo Santos: 1+ goals6%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assists5%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ assists5%
Endrick: 2+ goals5%
Danilo Santos: 2+ assists5%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ assists4%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ goals3%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ goals3%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ assists3%
Casemiro: 2+ assists3%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ assists3%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ assists3%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ assists3%
Endrick: 3+ goals3%
Rayan: 2+ goals3%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ goals2%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals2%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ goals2%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ assists2%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ goals2%
Raphinha: 3+ goals2%
Danilo Santos: 2+ goals2%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ goals1%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ goals1%
Casemiro: 2+ goals1%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ goals1%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ goals1%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals1%
Neymar Jr: 3+ goals1%
Raphinha: 1+ goals0%
Raphinha: 2+ goals0%

Market context

Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 20% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-06-29T17:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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