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Colombia vs. Ghana - Exact Score

How the sports market is pricing "Colombia vs. Ghana - Exact Score" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana 16% Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana 14% Any Other Score 12% Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana 11% Volume: $226K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Colombia vs. Ghana - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
16% 84% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
16% 84% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Colombia 2 - 0 Ghana16%
Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana14%
Any Other Score12%
Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana11%
Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana10%
Colombia 3 - 0 Ghana10%
Colombia 0 - 0 Ghana9%
Colombia 3 - 1 Ghana7%
Colombia 0 - 1 Ghana5%
Colombia 1 - 2 Ghana3%
Colombia 2 - 2 Ghana3%
Colombia 3 - 2 Ghana2%
Colombia 0 - 2 Ghana1%
Colombia 2 - 3 Ghana1%
Colombia 0 - 3 Ghana0%
Colombia 1 - 3 Ghana0%
Colombia 3 - 3 Ghana0%

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup Round of 32 knockout match between Colombia and Ghana, scheduled for 9:30 PM ET on 3 July 2026 at GEHA Field in Kansas City, will resolve this market based solely on the final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time. Colombia are expected to dominate possession against Ghana’s deep defensive block, relying on Luis Diaz for decisive moments while maintaining a solid defence to limit Ghana’s scoring opportunities, who have struggled to find goals in recent fixtures.

Historically, low-event knockout games in the World Cup often end with narrow margins, frequently 1-0, particularly when one side controls tempo against a defensively organised opponent. Colombia’s recent form shows a pattern of tight victories, including 1-0 wins against DR Congo and Jordan, mirroring the 9% crowd-implied probability for an exact score outcome that aligns with their typical “Colombia mold” of a familiar 1-0 result.

Traders should monitor final lineup announcements for any unexpected absences, though Colombia have reported no injury concerns ahead of the match, suggesting a full squad is available. Ghana’s recent results include a 1-2 loss to Croatia and a 0-0 draw with England, indicating defensive resilience but limited attacking threat. Key catalysts include in-game tactical shifts, particularly if Ghana attempts to break their block early, and any late substitutions that could alter the match’s event density.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Colombia vs. Ghana - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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