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Paraguay vs. France - Player Props

How the sports market is pricing "Paraguay vs. France - Player Props" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots 89% Michael Olise: 1+ shots 83% Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots 81% Kylian Mbappé: 1+ shots on target 78% Volume: $160K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 4 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Paraguay vs. France - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots89%
Michael Olise: 1+ shots83%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots81%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ shots on target78%
Julio César Enciso: 1+ shots76%
Désiré Doué: 1+ shots67%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals65%
Michael Olise: 2+ shots64%
Miguel Almirón: 1+ shots64%
Julio César Enciso: 2+ shots51%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shots48%
Álex Arce: 1+ shots on target48%
Álex Arce: 2+ shots on target48%
Désiré Doué: 1+ shots on target48%
Désiré Doué: 2+ shots on target48%
Désiré Doué: 3+ shots on target48%
Désiré Doué: 4+ shots on target48%
Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ shots on target48%
Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ shots on target48%
Julio César Enciso: 1+ shots on target48%
Julio César Enciso: 2+ shots on target48%
Julio César Enciso: 3+ shots on target48%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ shots on target48%
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ shots on target48%
Kylian Mbappé: 4+ shots on target48%
Michael Olise: 1+ shots on target48%
Michael Olise: 2+ shots on target48%
Michael Olise: 3+ shots on target48%
Michael Olise: 4+ shots on target48%
Miguel Almirón: 1+ shots on target48%
Miguel Almirón: 2+ shots on target48%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots on target48%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots on target48%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shots on target48%
Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ shots on target48%
Brice Samba: 2+ saves48%
Brice Samba: 3+ saves48%
Brice Samba: 4+ saves48%
Brice Samba: 5+ saves48%
Gatito Fernández: 2+ saves48%
Gatito Fernández: 3+ saves48%
Gatito Fernández: 4+ saves48%
Gatito Fernández: 5+ saves48%
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals + assists48%
Désiré Doué: 2+ goals + assists48%
Désiré Doué: 3+ goals + assists48%
Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assists48%
Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ goals + assists48%
Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ goals + assists48%
Gabriel Ávalos: 3+ goals + assists48%
Gabriel Ávalos: 4+ goals + assists48%
Julio César Enciso: 2+ goals + assists48%
Julio César Enciso: 3+ goals + assists48%
Julio César Enciso: 4+ goals + assists48%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals + assists48%
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals + assists48%
Kylian Mbappé: 4+ goals + assists48%
Michael Olise: 2+ goals + assists48%
Michael Olise: 3+ goals + assists48%
Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assists48%
Miguel Almirón: 1+ goals + assists48%
Miguel Almirón: 2+ goals + assists48%
Miguel Almirón: 3+ goals + assists48%
Miguel Almirón: 4+ goals + assists48%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals + assists48%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goals + assists48%
Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assists48%
Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ shots46%
Michael Olise: 3+ shots45%
Michael Olise: 1+ assists43%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assists42%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals41%
Álex Arce: 1+ shots41%
Désiré Doué: 2+ shots36%
Michael Olise: 1+ goals + assists36%
Michael Olise: 1+ goals34%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals + assists34%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assists30%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals28%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assists28%
Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ shots25%
Désiré Doué: 3+ shots24%
Michael Olise: 4+ shots23%
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals22%
Álex Arce: 2+ shots22%
Michael Olise: 5+ shots22%
Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ shots20%
Álex Arce: 3+ shots19%
Álex Arce: 4+ shots19%
Miguel Almirón: 2+ shots19%
Ousmane Dembélé: 5+ shots18%
Désiré Doué: 4+ shots17%
Álex Arce: 5+ shots16%
Julio César Enciso: 3+ shots14%
Michael Olise: 2+ assists14%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals11%
Gabriel Ávalos: 3+ shots11%
Désiré Doué: 5+ shots10%
Miguel Almirón: 3+ shots10%
Désiré Doué: 1+ assists10%
Julio César Enciso: 1+ goals9%
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals9%
Julio César Enciso: 1+ goals + assists9%
Michael Olise: 2+ goals8%
Julio César Enciso: 4+ shots7%
Julio César Enciso: 1+ assists6%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assists6%
Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ goals5%
Miguel Almirón: 1+ goals5%
Gabriel Ávalos: 4+ shots5%
Désiré Doué: 2+ assists5%
Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ assists5%
Álex Arce: 1+ goals4%
Désiré Doué: 2+ goals4%
Miguel Almirón: 1+ assists4%
Miguel Almirón: 4+ shots3%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assists3%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goals2%
Julio César Enciso: 5+ shots2%
Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ assists2%
Julio César Enciso: 2+ assists2%
Miguel Almirón: 2+ assists2%
Álex Arce: 2+ goals1%
Désiré Doué: 3+ goals1%
Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ goals1%
Julio César Enciso: 2+ goals1%
Michael Olise: 3+ goals1%
Miguel Almirón: 2+ goals1%

Market context

Market consensus: 89% chance of paraguay vs. france - player props. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Paraguay and France, scheduled for July 4 at 5:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Paraguay vs. France - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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