Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via March Madness Predictions) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Michael Brennan | 96% |
| Beau Hossler | 3% |
| Sung-Jae Im | 2% |
| Maverick McNealy | 2% |
| Zach Bauchou | 1% |
| Patrick Cantlay | 1% |
| Bud Cauley | 1% |
| Davis Chatfield | 1% |
| Trace Crowe | 1% |
| Joel Dahmen | 1% |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 1% |
| Alex Fitzpatrick | 1% |
| Max Greyserman | 1% |
| Harry Hall | 1% |
| Rico Hoey | 1% |
| Tom Hoge | 1% |
| Rasmus Hojgaard | 1% |
| Billy Horschel | 1% |
| Benjamin James | 1% |
| Tom Kim | 1% |
| Chris Kirk | 1% |
| Patton Kizzire | 1% |
| Brooks Koepka | 1% |
| Ben Kohles | 1% |
| Jackson Koivun | 1% |
| Denny McCarthy | 1% |
| Matt McCarty | 1% |
| Alexander Noren | 1% |
| Andrew Novak | 1% |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | 1% |
| John Parry | 1% |
| Marco Penge | 1% |
| Chandler Phillips | 1% |
| Aaron Rai | 1% |
| Kihei Akina | 0% |
| Daniel Berger | 0% |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 0% |
| Chandler Blanchet | 0% |
| Keegan Bradley | 0% |
| Blades Brown | 0% |
| Daniel Brown | 0% |
| Brian Campbell | 0% |
| Rafael Campos | 0% |
| Ricky Castillo | 0% |
| Luke Clanton | 0% |
| Eric Cole | 0% |
| Tyler Collet | 0% |
| Pierceson Coody | 0% |
| Cam Davis | 0% |
| Jason Day | 0% |
| Ze-Cheng Dou | 0% |
| Adrien Dumont De Chassart | 0% |
| Nick Dunlap | 0% |
| Austin Eckroat | 0% |
| Harris English | 0% |
| A.J. Ewart | 0% |
| Tony Finau | 0% |
| Patrick Fishburn | 0% |
| Steven Fisk | 0% |
| Brice Garnett | 0% |
| Ryan Gerard | 0% |
| Doug Ghim | 0% |
| Lucas Glover | 0% |
| Ben Griffin | 0% |
| Emiliano Grillo | 0% |
| Brian Harman | 0% |
| Garrick Higgo | 0% |
| Joe Highsmith | 0% |
| Kensei Hirata | 0% |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 0% |
| Lee Hodges | 0% |
| Cooper Hrabak | 0% |
| Mark Hubbard | 0% |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 0% |
| Stephan Jaeger | 0% |
| Takumi Kanaya | 0% |
| Jeffrey Kang | 0% |
| Johnny Keefer | 0% |
| Michael Kim | 0% |
| Christo Lamprecht | 0% |
| Henry Lebioda | 0% |
| Hao-Tong Li | 0% |
| David Lipsky | 0% |
| Peter Malnati | 0% |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 0% |
| Stefano Mazzoli | 0% |
| Max McGreevy | 0% |
| Mac Meissner | 0% |
| Keith Mitchell | 0% |
| Taylor Moore | 0% |
| William Mouw | 0% |
| Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen | 0% |
| Pontus Nyholm | 0% |
| Cheng Tsung Pan | 0% |
| Matthieu Pavon | 0% |
| Taylor Pendrith | 0% |
| JT Poston | 0% |
| Aldrich Potgieter | 0% |
| Seamus Power | 0% |
| Andrew Putnam | 0% |
| Player 0 | 0% |
| Player 1 | 0% |
| Player 2 | 0% |
| Player 3 | 0% |
| Player 4 | 0% |
| Player 5 | 0% |
| Player 6 | 0% |
| Player 7 | 0% |
| Player 8 | 0% |
| Player 9 | 0% |
| Player 10 | 0% |
| Player 11 | 0% |
| Player 12 | 0% |
| Player 13 | 0% |
| Player 14 | 0% |
| Player 15 | 0% |
| Player 16 | 0% |
| Player 17 | 0% |
| Player 18 | 0% |
| Player 19 | 0% |
| Other | 0% |
Market context
The Wyndham Championship is the PGA Tour’s regular-season finale at Sedgefield Country Club, where the winner is usually decided by current form rather than reputation because the field is built around players chasing FedExCup position and one last chance to finish the summer strongly.[2][4][9] A 0% crowd-implied chance on a named winner is consistent with a market that still has a live leaderboard and a volatile finish, especially at a venue that tends to reward accurate driving, strong iron play and steady putting on Bermuda greens.[13][16]
Historical framing matters here because this event often produces a compressed scoring race rather than a runaway favourite, and the defending champion Cameron Young entered 2026 as the headline reference point while the field also included several players whose starts were tied to playoff qualification pressure.[2][7][9] That combination means traders should read the probability through live contention and late-round volatility: a player can look short early, yet the market only resolves on the official winner, or to “Other” if an unlisted player lifts the trophy under PGA Tour rules.[6][7]
The main catalysts are the final-round scoreboard, any weather interruptions, and whether projected contenders actually convert birdie chances on Sunday, when conditions were expected to be the most favourable after thunderstorms through the earlier rounds.[9][13] Pre-tournament reporting also highlighted Cameron Young as the defending champion and the tournament running from 6–9 August, so any scratch, withdrawal or late lineup change would matter immediately to resolution because the market settles strictly on the official tournament result.[2][7][9]
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner on March Madness Predictions
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →